When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Chance
Before Aug 1, 2026
16%
▼ 4
Before Aug 1, 2026
16%
▼ 4
Before Sep 1, 2026
23%
▼ 24
Before Sep 1, 2026
23%
▼ 24
Before Oct 1, 2026
38%
▼ 10
Before Oct 1, 2026
38%
▼ 10
Before Nov 1, 2026
46%
▼ 1
Before Nov 1, 2026
46%
▼ 1
Market Rules
Before Aug 1, 2026
Resolves Yes if Anthropic releases a model under Anthropic's Mythos tier — including models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" - excluding Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) before Aug 1, 2026.Outcome verified from Anthropic.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 6, 2026 · 7:04pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCLAUDE
EventKXCLAUDE-NXTMYTH
MarketKXCLAUDE-NXTMYTH-26AUG01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Before Aug 1, 2026
Odds
0% chanceMax payout