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Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? Odds & Predictions
Science and Technology
·
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Science and Technology
·
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Begins in
194 days
·
Dec 31, 8:00am EST
Chance
Anthropic
58%
▼ 2
Yes
59¢
No
42¢
Anthropic
58%
▼ 2
Yes
59¢
No
42¢
OpenAI
31%
▼ 1
Yes
34¢
No
68¢
OpenAI
31%
▼ 1
Yes
34¢
No
68¢
xAI
6%
Yes
6¢
No
95¢
xAI
6%
Yes
6¢
No
95¢
6 more
Market Rules
Anthropic
Resolves Yes if
Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
LiveBench.ai
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jan 3, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXCODINGMODEL
Event
KXCODINGMODEL-26DEC
Market
KXCODINGMODEL-26DEC-ANTH
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$780,353 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL