Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner? Odds & Predictions
Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
Chance
Kyle Diamantas
35%
▼ 1
Kyle Diamantas
35%
▼ 1
Mehmet Oz
14%
Mehmet Oz
14%
Stephen Hahn
5%
Stephen Hahn
5%
4 more
Market Rules
Kyle Diamantas
If Kyle Diamantas is nominated for FDA commissioner after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029. then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Only the first official nomination made after Issuance will be considered.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 12, 2026 · 9:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early following the next person formally nominated by the President to be FDA commissioner. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 20, 2029 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXFDANOM
EventKXFDANOM-29
MarketKXFDANOM-29-KDIA
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