How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?

How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?

$12,235,624 vol

ALL

Market Rules

At least 1 billion

The outcome is No

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.

Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024.

Timeline and payout

Market openFeb 24, 2025 · 7:00pm EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 20, 2026 at 9:48am EST.

SeriesKXGOVTCUTS

EventKXGOVTCUTS-25

MarketKXGOVTCUTS-25-1

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