Will Grok 3 be the best AI model at some point in 2025?

Will Grok 3 be the best AI model at some point in 2025?

$28,697 vol

Order book

Yes

Market Rules

The outcome is Yes

Resolves Yes if there is a day at 10:00 AM ET where Grok 3 is the top model on the LMSYS Chatbot leaderboard before Jan 1, 2026.Outcome verified from LMSYS.

Timeline and payout

Market openDec 19, 2024 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 18, 2025 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXGROK3

EventKXGROK3-25

MarketKXGROK3-25

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.