Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5) Odds & Predictions
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)
Chance
Above 150
77%
▲ 18
Above 150
77%
▲ 18
Above 175
55%
▲ 2
Above 175
55%
▲ 2
Above 200
35%
▼ 14
Above 200
35%
▼ 14
7 more
Market Rules
Above 50
Resolves Yes ifthe number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026.Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 30, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJul 7, 2026 · 9:00am EDT
Projected payoutJul 7, 2026 · 10:30am EDT
SeriesKXHORMUZWEEKLY
EventKXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL05
MarketKXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL05-T50
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.