Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive116AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE116
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Chance
Democrats, 14 to 16%
78%
▼ 6

Democrats, 14 to 16%

78%
▼ 6
Democrats, 12 to 14%
20%
▲ 10.3

Democrats, 12 to 14%

20%
▲ 10.3
Democrats, 16% and above
2%
▼ 1

Democrats, 16% and above

2%
▼ 1
7 more

People are also trading
Series Image
Blue wave this year?
Series Image
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
Series Image
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Series Image
Blue tsunami this year?
Series Image
Closest Senate race this year?
Series Image
Midterms: Blue trickle?
Series Image
Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Series Image
How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win?
Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 14 to 16%

Odds
80% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
$7,976,882 vol
More Politics Markets

Trending Politics markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?Will the House impeach Trump?Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)US-Iran nuclear deal?Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Politics hub

All Politics markets