Will anyone involved in the Houthi groupchat leave their office before May 2025?
Will anyone involved in the Houthi groupchat leave their office before May 2025?
$7,152 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If any of the persons involved in the Houthi group chat leave their office before May 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
The persons involved are: Mike Waltz (National Security Advisor), Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary), Brian McCormack (Chief of Staff for the National Security Council), Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense) , Dan Katz (Chief of Staff for the Secretary of the Treasury), Steve Witkoff (Trump Administration's special envoy to the Middle East), J.D. Vance (Vice President), Tulsi Gabbard (DNI), Susie Wiles (WH Chief of Staff), John Ratcliffe (Director of the CIA), Mike Needham (counselor and chief of staff to the Secretary of State), Marco Rubio (Secretary of State), Alex Wong (deputy national security advisor), Walker Barrett (NSC staff), or Stephen Miller (Advisor to the President).
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXHOUTHILEAVE
EventKXHOUTHILEAVE-25MAY
MarketKXHOUTHILEAVE-25MAY
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.