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Trading on the exchange is currently paused for scheduled maintenance from 3-5 AM ET.
International
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Chance
Before Oct 1, 2026
11%
Yes
19¢
No
96¢
Before Oct 1, 2026
11%
Yes
19¢
No
96¢
Before Nov 1, 2026
--%
Yes
38¢
No
95¢
Before Nov 1, 2026
--%
Yes
38¢
No
95¢
Before Jan 1, 2027
--%
Yes
96¢
No
95¢
Before Jan 1, 2027
--%
Yes
96¢
No
95¢
5 more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Before Oct 1, 2026
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Oct 1, 2026
$0
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