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  1. US Elections

California’s 4th District margin of victory

100
Begins on Tuesday · Nov 3
Chance
Eric Jones, 1+ pts
44%

Eric Jones, 1+ pts

44%
Eric Jones, 5+ pts
26%

Eric Jones, 5+ pts

26%
Eric Jones, 10+ pts
14%

Eric Jones, 10+ pts

14%
Eric Jones, 15+ pts
4%

Eric Jones, 15+ pts

4%
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California’s 4th District margin of victory

Eric Jones, 1+ pts

Odds
49% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel· California
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Eric JonesDem
    $8.4M
    0.1%
    $8.4M raised·0.1% small donors
  • Mike ThompsonDem
    $4.2M
    4.7%
    $4.2M raised·4.7% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
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