Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
402
Account
Search
Social
Reminder: Weekly scheduled exchange maintenance will occur from 3-5 AM ET. Trading will be paused during this time.
MARKETS
INVEST
LIVE
402
PRO
MORE
US Elections
Arizona’s 8th District margin of victory
LIVE
545
Chance
Hamadeh, 3+ pts
49%
▼ 10
Yes
40¢
No
90.7¢
Hamadeh, 3+ pts
49%
▼ 10
Yes
40¢
No
90.7¢
Hamadeh, 6+ pts
33%
▼ 19
Yes
42¢
No
96.2¢
Hamadeh, 6+ pts
33%
▼ 19
Yes
42¢
No
96.2¢
Hamadeh, 9+ pts
1.8%
▼ 44.2
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.3¢
Hamadeh, 9+ pts
1.8%
▼ 44.2
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.3¢
5 more
Voter Turnout
Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
People are also trading
AZ-08 House winner?
Arizona 08 House General Election: voter turnout
AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent
AZ-08 House election: Bernadette Greene-Placentia vote percent
Alaska Senate winner?
Mississippi Senate winner?
NC-03 House winner?
Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory
AZ-02 House winner?
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Arizona’s 8th District margin of victory
Hamadeh, 3+ pts
YES 40¢
NO 90.7¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
42% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Race Intel
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Abraham Hamadeh
R
$1.4M
19%
$1.4M raised
·
19% small donors
Bernadette Greene-Placentia
D
$236.5K
76%
$236.5K raised
·
76% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024
R +16.3%
2020
R +13.5%
More Elections Markets
More Midterm margin of victory markets
Alaska Governor margin of victory
Alaska Governor margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
California's 4th District margin of victory
California's 4th District margin of victory
California's 7th District margin of victory
Trending Elections markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
2028 Republican presidential nominee
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
NC-03 House winner?
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Alaska Senate winner?
Mississippi Senate winner?
Elections hub
All Elections markets