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  1. US Elections

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

100
Begins in 18 days · Nov 3
Chance
Cotton, 10+ pts

68%

Cotton, 10+ pts

68%

Cotton, 12+ pts

54%

▲ 3
Cotton, 12+ pts

54%

▲ 3
Cotton, 14+ pts

41%

▼ 7
Cotton, 14+ pts

41%

▼ 7
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Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Cotton, 2+ pts

Cotton, 2+ pts

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR50%
    50%
    $6.2M
    8.9%
    $6.2M raised·8.9% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.9%
    38.9%
    $2.3M
    36%
    $2.3M raised·36% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%