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  1. US Elections

Florida’s 14th District margin of victory

100

Begins in 18 days · Nov 3

Chance

Castor, 2+ pts

62%

Castor, 2+ pts

62%


Castor, 5+ pts

49%

Castor, 5+ pts

49%


Castor, 8+ pts

39%

Castor, 8+ pts

39%


8 more

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Florida’s 14th District margin of victory
Castor, 2+ pts

Castor, 2+ pts

Odds
69% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kathy CastorD
    $2M
    7.6%
    $2M raised·7.6% small donors
  • Mike BeltranR
    $2.1M
    0.2%
    $2.1M raised·0.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +10.5%2020R +2.8%