Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive142AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE142
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

FL-14 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Kathy Castor
Democratic party
70%
▲ 2

Kathy Castor

Democratic party
70%
▲ 2
Mike Beltran
Republican party
30%
▼ 2

Mike Beltran

Republican party
30%
▼ 2
People are also trading
Series Image
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
Series Image
Florida 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
FL-14 House election: Mike Beltran vote percent
Series Image
FL-14 House election: Kathy Castor vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
Ohio Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

More Florida races

Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonFL-25 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-27 House raceFL-09 House raceFL-07 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaAlaska Senate raceNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo
FL-14 House winner?

Kathy Castor

Odds
70% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Castor
Nov 3 ·D +3.2margin forecast
Beltran
$331,131 vol
Race Intel

FL-14 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentKathy Castor (D)Running for re-election

FL-14 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kathy CastorD
    $4.5M
    8.8%
    $4.5M raised·8.8% small donors
  • Mike BeltranR
    $2.6M
    0.6%
    $2.6M raised·0.6% small donors

Castor vs. Beltran Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCastor 70%Beltran 30% · $322.9K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-14 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.5%2020R +2.8%