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House
FL-26 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican party
89%
Yes
90¢
No
12¢
Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican party
89%
Yes
90¢
No
12¢
Nicole Locklin
Democratic party
11%
Yes
11¢
No
90.1¢
Nicole Locklin
Democratic party
11%
Yes
11¢
No
90.1¢
People are also trading
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
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FL-26 House election: Mario Díaz-Balart vote percent
FL-26 House election: Nicole Locklin vote percent
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
FL-26 House winner?
Mario Díaz-Balart
YES 90¢
NO 12¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Locklin
Nov 3
·
R +9.1
margin forecast
Díaz-Balart
$30,312 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
FL-26 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mario Diaz-Balart (R)
Running for re-election
FL-26 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Mario Díaz-Balart
R
$2.6M
0.1%
$2.6M raised
·
0.1% small donors
Nicole Locklin
D
$560.6K
44%
$560.6K raised
·
44% small donors
Díaz-Balart vs. Locklin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Díaz-Balart 89%
Locklin 11% · $21K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past FL-26 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +18.3%
2020
R +1.2%