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  1. House

FL-26 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican party
89%

Mario Díaz-Balart

Republican party
89%

Nicole Locklin
Democratic party
11%

Nicole Locklin

Democratic party
11%

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Florida's 26th District margin of victory
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Florida 26 House General Election: voter turnout
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FL-26 House election: Mario Díaz-Balart vote percent
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FL-26 House election: Nicole Locklin vote percent
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FL-26 House winner?

Mario Díaz-Balart

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Locklin
Nov 3 ·R +9.1margin forecast
Díaz-Balart
$30,312 vol
Race Intel

FL-26 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMario Diaz-Balart (R)Running for re-election

FL-26 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Mario Díaz-BalartR
    $2.6M
    0.1%
    $2.6M raised·0.1% small donors
  • Nicole LocklinD
    $560.6K
    44%
    $560.6K raised·44% small donors

Díaz-Balart vs. Locklin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsDíaz-Balart 89%Locklin 11% · $21K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-26 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +18.3%2020R +1.2%