Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Chance
OpenAI
54%
â–² 2
OpenAI
54%
â–² 2
Meta
27%
â–¼ 3
Meta
27%
â–¼ 3
xAI
23%
â–² 5
xAI
23%
â–² 5
11 more
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Market Rules
OpenAI
If OpenAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 1, 2026 · 12:01am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTOPAI
EventKXTOPAI-27
MarketKXTOPAI-27-JAN01-OPEN
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