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Politics
Recurring
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/14 - 6/20)
Above 0
--
0
%
Above 1
--
0
%
3 markets
Congress
How long will the government shutdown last?
More than 3 days
Yes
More than 2 days
Yes
$36,839,088 vol
9 markets
Trump
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education in 2025?
Yes
No
$3,906,111 vol
1 market
Recurring
How many bills will Trump sign in January 2026?
6
Yes
5
No
$491,910 vol
11 markets
Trump
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire in 2025?
0
Yes
1
No
$173,232 vol
10 markets
Politics
Will the federal hiring freeze be lifted before 2026?
Yes
No
$40,876 vol
1 market
Trump
Will anyone leave the DOJ over the Epstein files release before February?
Yes
No
$20,891 vol
1 market
Trump
Will Trump declare another national emergency?
Before 2027
Yes
Before 2026
No
$14,869 vol
2 markets
Politics
Will federal employees be prohibited from editing Wikipedia this year?
Yes
No
$2,690 vol
1 market
Politics
Will Columbia University agree to a consent decree with the federal government in 2025?
Yes
No
$2,597 vol
1 market
Trump
Trump veto before 2027?
Yes
No
$1,228 vol
1 market
Economics
Jobs & Economy
How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
Yes
More than 100,000
Yes
$1,604,103 vol
5 markets
Federal Government Odds & Predictions 2026
Federal Government Odds & Predictions
Trending
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