Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive183AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE183
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

HI-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jill Tokuda
Democratic party
96%
▲ 0.3

Jill Tokuda

Democratic party
96%
▲ 0.3
Brenton Awa
Republican party
4%
▼ 0.3

Brenton Awa

Republican party
4%
▼ 0.3
People are also trading
Series Image
Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent
Series Image
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
South Carolina Senate winner?
Series Image
Iowa Senate winner?

More Hawaii and 2026 Midterm Races

More Hawaii races

Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. Cordery

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman

More races

Rhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. Pickens
HI-02 House winner?

Jill Tokuda

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tokuda
Nov 3 ·D +34.9margin forecast
Awa
$57,159 vol
Race Intel

HI-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJill Tokuda (D)Running for re-election

HI-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brenton AwaR
    $129.3K
    11%
    $129.3K raised·11% small donors
  • Jill TokudaD
    $939.1K
    9.6%
    $939.1K raised·9.6% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past HI-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +21.6%2020D +29.5%