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Who will advance from the CA-11 primary? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
·
Primaries
Who will advance from the CA-11 primary?
Elections
·
Primaries
Who will advance from the CA-11 primary?
Scott Wiener
Yes
Scott Wiener
Yes
Connie Chan
Yes
Connie Chan
Yes
Saikat Chakrabarti
No
Saikat Chakrabarti
No
6 more
Market Rules
Scott Wiener
The outcome is Yes
If Scott Wiener advances in the 2026 CA-11 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
the official electoral commission
.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Oct 18, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 3, 2026 at 10:11am EDT.
Series
KXCA11PRIMARY
Event
KXCA11PRIMARY-26
Market
KXCA11PRIMARY-26-SWIE
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 2026
2026 Primary Elections
$230,581 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL