Best AI next month?
Best AI next month?
Chance
Market Rules
Claude
If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LMArena Leaderboard.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 29, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJun 30, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Projected payoutJun 30, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
SeriesKXLLM1
EventKXLLM1-26JUN30
MarketKXLLM1-26JUN30-A
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The Large Language Model (LLM) market is highly competitive, with several key players vying for dominance. LLMs are becoming essential components of the digital world, enabling sophisticated search tools and better customer service across various industries. The global LLM market was valued at US$6.66 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.71%, reaching an estimated US$41.17 billion by 2030.