Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
Chance
At least 50
88%
▲ 32
At least 50
88%
▲ 32
At least 60
56%
▲ 6
At least 60
56%
▲ 6
At least 70
33%
▼ 16
At least 70
33%
▼ 16
5 more
Market Rules
At least 30
Resolves Yes if the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in Jul 2026.Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 2, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT
Market closesAug 4, 2026 · 12:45pm EDT
Projected payoutNov 2, 2026 · 12:16pm EST
SeriesKXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ
EventKXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUL31
MarketKXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUL31-AL30
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
At least 30
Odds
0% chanceMax payout