Maine Senate Exact Outcome
Maine Senate Exact Outcome
Begins in 147 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Graham Platner wins
Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat
56%
▼ 4
Graham Platner wins
Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat
56%
▼ 4
Republican defeats Graham Platner
Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Republican
40%
▼ 1
Republican defeats Graham Platner
Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Republican
40%
▼ 1
Republican defeats Janet Mills
Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Republican
3.9%
▲ 2.9
Republican defeats Janet Mills
Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Republican
3.9%
▲ 2.9
Janet Mills wins
Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Democrat
2.7%
▲ 0.2
Janet Mills wins
Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Democrat
2.7%
▲ 0.2
Race Intel· Maine
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
- Graham PlatnerDem$12M49.2%64%$12M raised·64% small donors
- Susan CollinsRep$10.5M42.5%8%$10.5M raised·8% small donors
Market Rules
Graham Platner wins
If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Maine Secretary of State.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 31, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMESENOUTCOME
EventKXMESENOUTCOME-27JAN
MarketKXMESENOUTCOME-27JAN-GPD
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
- Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
- Members of Congress and their senior staff.
- White House senior staff and advisors.
- Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
- Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
- Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
- Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
- Contractors with access to embargoed data.
- Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
- Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
- Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
- Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
- Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
- Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
- Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
- Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
- Diplomatic staff with knowledge of agreement timing.
- International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
- Immediate family members of all above categories.
- Household members of prohibited persons.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event