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Kansas Senate Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Marshall vs. Hamilton | Kalshi

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Senate

Kansas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party

2

Hamilton

Nov 3 ·R +1.4margin forecast

Marshall

$4,677,208 vol

Chance

Roger Marshall

Republican party

60%

▼ 1

Roger Marshall

Republican party

60%

▼ 1

Adam Hamilton

Democratic party

40%

▲ 1

Adam Hamilton

Democratic party

40%

▲ 1

Race Intel

Kansas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentRoger Marshall (R)Running for re-election

Kansas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

Adam HamiltonD46.1%
46.1%
$4.2M
18%
$4.2M raised·18% small donors
Roger MarshallR45.1%
45.1%
$4.8M
4.0%
$4.8M raised·4.0% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Kansas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +16.1%2020R +14.6%

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Kansas Senate winner?

Roger Marshall

Dollars$

Odds

63% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Congress balance of power

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