Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive156AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE156
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate

New Mexico Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party


Chance

Ben Ray Luján
Democratic party
97.6%
▲ 0.2

Ben Ray Luján

Democratic party
97.6%
▲ 0.2

Larry E. Marker
Republican party
2.4%
▼ 0.2

Larry E. Marker

Republican party
2.4%
▼ 0.2

People are also trading
Series Image
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
Series Image
New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
New Mexico Governor winner?
Series Image
NM-02 House winner?
Series Image
NM-03 House winner?
Series Image
NM-01 House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico State House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Secretary of State winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent
Series Image
New Mexico Senate election: Larry Marker vote percent

More New Mexico and 2026 Midterm Races

More New Mexico races

New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman

More races

Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton
New Mexico Senate winner?

Ben Ray Luján

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Luján
Nov 3 ·D +20.6margin forecast
Marker
$133,942 vol
Race Intel

New Mexico Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBen Ray Lujan (D)Running for re-election

New Mexico Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben Ray LujánD
    $5.6M
    21%
    $5.6M raised·21% small donors
  • Larry MarkerR
    $92K
    7.8%
    $92K raised·7.8% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past New Mexico Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.0%2020D +10.8%