Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive136AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE136
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate

New Mexico Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Ben Ray Luján
Democratic party
96.5%
▼ 1.2

Ben Ray Luján

Democratic party
96.5%
▼ 1.2
Larry E. Marker
Republican party
3.5%
▲ 1.2

Larry E. Marker

Republican party
3.5%
▲ 1.2
People are also trading
Series Image
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
Series Image
New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
New Mexico Governor winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Attorney General winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Secretary of State winner?
Series Image
NM-03 House winner?
Series Image
NM-02 House winner?
Series Image
NM-01 House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico State House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent

More New Mexico and 2026 Midterm Races

More New Mexico races

New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly

More races

Wyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
New Mexico Senate winner?

Ben Ray Luján

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Luján
Nov 3 ·D +20.6margin forecast
Marker
$123,718 vol
Race Intel

New Mexico Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBen Ray Lujan (D)Running for re-election

New Mexico Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben Ray LujánD
    $5.6M
    21%
    $5.6M raised·21% small donors
  • Larry MarkerR
    $92K
    7.8%
    $92K raised·7.8% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past New Mexico Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.0%2020D +10.8%