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  1. Senate

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Kevin Hern
Republican party
97%
▲ 0.3

Kevin Hern

Republican party
97%
▲ 0.3
N’Kiyla Thomas
Democratic party
3%
▼ 0.3

N’Kiyla Thomas

Democratic party
3%
▼ 0.3
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More Oklahoma and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oklahoma races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. Munson

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz
Oklahoma Senate winner?

Kevin Hern

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Thomas
Nov 3 ·R +26.3margin forecast
Hern
$53,503 vol
Race Intel

Oklahoma Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAlan Armstrong (R)Not seeking re-election

Oklahoma Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kevin HernR
    $10.8M
    2.0%
    $10.8M raised·2.0% small donors
  • N’Kiyla Jasmine ThomasD
    $107K
    59%
    $107K raised·59% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oklahoma Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +34.3%2020R +33.1%