MLB Playoff Bracket

Twelve clubs reach the MLB postseason — six from each league. The three division winners are seeded 1–3 by record and the three wild cards 4–6, and every division winner is seeded above every wild card: a 100-win wild card is still the No. 4 seed behind an 84-win division champion.

The top two seeds in each league get a bye straight to the Division Series. The other four play a best-of-three Wild Card Series — 3 v 6 and 4 v 5 — with all three games at the higher seed's park. There is no reseeding afterwards, so the bracket is fixed from the start: the No. 1 seed plays whoever comes out of 4 v 5, and the No. 2 seed plays whoever comes out of 3 v 6.

The seeds here are read from the clubs' final records, which is what MLB seeds by. The three division leaders took 1–3 in record order and the next three records took the wild cards. The regular season is over, so those seeds cannot move any more — and because MLB does not reseed, the two Wild Card pairings they imply are the ones that will be played. Those cards read "CONFIRMED"; the rounds above them still wait on results.

12 of the twelve clubs shown are in the field as a matter of record rather than of projection — either the exchange has graded and paid out their playoff-qualifier contract, or their record can no longer be caught for a place. And the final records have fixed where each of them is seeded.

Round dates come from MLB's published postseason calendar. Every figure here is a market probability rather than a forecast we produce: while a contract is open it comes from Kalshi's order book and moves when traders move it, and once the exchange has graded one it carries that settled result instead.