Finance

Industries

Week 26: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week?

Above $4.50

2.89x

Above $4.00

1.25x

$1,742 vol9 markets

Finance

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

OpenAI

3.66x

Anthropic

1.29x

$279,691 vol2 markets

Industries

Week 26: Price of NVIDIA's H200 compute at end of week?

Above $3.50

2.73x

Above $3.00

1.09x

$1,258 vol9 markets

Product launches

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jul 1, 2028

1.65x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.97x

$69,216 vol13 markets

CEOs

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

Yes

5.90x

1.12x

$76,812 vol1 market

Industries

Week 26: Price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 compute at end of week?

Above $0.50

1.36x

Above $0.75

6.74x

$224 vol5 markets

Product launches

Will xAI release a video game before 2027?

Yes

3.66x

1.23x

$20,755 vol1 market

Palantir Technologies Inc.

Palantir total customers in Q1 2026

Above 1000

Yes

Above 980

Yes

$152,972 vol9 markets

Tech & Science

Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headphones

2.89x

Clip-on device for clothing

5.90x

$102,649 vol10 markets

Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes

4.31x

1.20x

$19,542 vol1 market

Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes

1.42x

2.40x

$8,054 vol1 market

When will xAI release Grok 4.2?

Before Apr 21, 2026

Yes

Before Feb 1, 2026

$100,804 vol6 markets

Mentions

What will Bernie say during his AI Data Center Organizing Call?

Facebook / Meta

Yes

Middle Class

Yes

$659,248 vol21 markets

Mentions

What will Fed Gov Barr say during his AI speech?

Security / Cybersecurity

Yes

Generative AI / GenAI

Yes

$97,867 vol14 markets

Politicians

What will the witnesses say during the Senate hearing on AI in education?

Hallucinate / Hallucination

Yes

Literacy

Yes

$86,733 vol16 markets

Commodities

Tokens

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get this year?

$25/MTok or below

2.24x

$20/MTok or below

2.89x

$42,452 vol4 markets

Tech

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get this year?

$4/MTok or below

3.66x

$3/MTok or below

4.51x

$2,185 vol4 markets

Culture

People

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Donald Trump

4.31x

Pope Leo XIV

4.98x

$421,914 vol22 markets

Artificial Intelligence Odds & Predictions