Osaka vs Sabalenka: Head-to-Head & Odds
Naomi Osaka vs Aryna Sabalenka on Kalshi: every meeting Kalshi has listed from June 2025 through Oct 22, 2026 and who the market rates higher in the outrights. No meeting is listed right now: Kalshi lists a match once the draw sets it, and this page fills in when it does.
Live market pricesUpdated Thursday, Oct 22, 2026 · 6:11 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Kalshi prices: KXATPMATCH and KXWTAMATCH for each meeting, the set-winner, total-games and game-spread series for its props, and KXATP and KXWTA for the tournament winner markets.
HEAD-TO-HEAD ON KALSHISabalenka leads Osaka 3–1 in the 4 meetings Kalshi has listed since June 2025, through Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi’s match markets began in June 2025, so this is not a career record. Newest first.
Osaka vs Sabalenka head-to-head
| Month | Tournament | Winner | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | Wimbledon Women Singles (opens in a new tab)Round Of 16 | Naomi Osaka | 4.8M |
| Jun 2026 | French Open Women Singles (opens in a new tab)Round Of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 5.4M |
| Apr 2026 | WTA Madrid (opens in a new tab)Round Of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 3.3M |
| Mar 2026 | WTA Indian Wells (opens in a new tab)Round Of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 951.2K |
OUTRIGHTSEach tournament winner market that prices both players, soonest to settle first: who the market gives the better chance to win it.
Who the market rates higher
| Market | Osaka | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 Australian Open Women's Singles (opens in a new tab) | 8% | 23% |
| 2027 French Open Women's Singles (opens in a new tab) | 5% | 20% |
METHOD
How to read this page
A match price is a player’s Kalshi price to win the match, read as a probability; set and game lines are separate markets.
The head-to-head counts the meetings Kalshi listed and graded since its match markets began in June 2025. Matches before then, and any Kalshi did not list, are not in it.
Matches carry their tournament and round, not a start time: the exchange’s match times disagree with each other, so none is printed.
FAQ
Questions
Who leads the Osaka vs Sabalenka head-to-head?
Sabalenka leads Osaka 3–1 in the 4 meetings Kalshi has listed since June 2025, through Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi’s match markets began in June 2025, so earlier meetings are not counted.
Who won the last Osaka vs Sabalenka match?
Naomi Osaka won their last meeting Kalshi listed, at Wimbledon Women Singles (round of 16), Jul 2026.
How do I read Kalshi’s tennis odds?
Each price is what a contract paying $1 if that outcome happens costs right now, so 64¢ reads as a 64% chance. Prices move with every point once a match starts, and every one on this page links to its market.
SEE ALSO