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Foreign Elections
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Frequency
How many seats will the LDP win in the Japanese snap election?
Between 260 and 269
3.80
x
25
%
Between 250 and 259
4.73
x
20
%
$32,771 vol
9 markets
Who will be the Prime Minister of Japan after their snap election?
Sanae Takaichi
1.01
x
99
%
Toshimitsu Motegi
93.52
x
1
%
$38,442 vol
10 markets
Portugal Presidential election winner?
António José Seguro
1.01
x
99
%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
93.52
x
1
%
$1,081,648 vol
8 markets
Brazil Presidential election winner?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.76
x
55
%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3.18
x
30
%
$389,948 vol
11 markets
Who will win the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?
People's Party
1.40
x
70
%
Bhumjaithai Party
2.98
x
32
%
$68,549 vol
7 markets
Who will win the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Liberal Democratic Party
1.02
x
98
%
Japan Innovation Party
93.52
x
1
%
$21,604 vol
7 markets
Margin of victory in the Portugal Presidential election runoff?
Seguro, 35 to 40%
3.66
x
26
%
Seguro, 30 to 35%
3.52
x
27
%
$33,521 vol
10 markets
Who will be Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?
Péter Magyar
1.83
x
53
%
Viktor Orbán
2.19
x
44
%
$61,489 vol
2 markets
Gorton and Denton by-election winner?
Hannah Spencer
1.73
x
56
%
Matt Goodwin
2.66
x
36
%
$78,822 vol
13 markets
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election?
Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia
1.34
x
73
%
Unity – National Movement
3.52
x
27
%
$2,038 vol
2 markets
Will any party win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Yes
1.10
x
90
%
No
9.41
x
10
%
$15,293 vol
1 market
Who will be Prime Minister of Thailand after the 2026 election?
Anutin Charnvirakul
1.52
x
64
%
Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut
3.40
x
28
%
$972 vol
6 markets
Which parties will gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?
Democratic Party for the People
1.70
x
57
%
Japanese Communist Party
46.79
x
2
%
$19,779 vol
6 markets
Which parties will be a part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
GL/PvdA
93.52
x
1
%
PVV
46.79
x
2
%
$39,627 vol
15 markets
Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?
Laila Cunningham
3.80
x
25
%
Sadiq Khan
3.96
x
24
%
$831 vol
8 markets
Will any party win a majority in the Costa Rica Legislative Assembly?
Yes
1.01
x
99
%
No
93.52
x
1
%
$11,156 vol
1 market
Will anyone win outright in the Costa Rica Presidential election?
Yes
1.01
x
99
%
No
93.52
x
1
%
$41,548 vol
1 market
Who will win the 2026 Paris mayoral election?
Emmanuel Grégoire
1.60
x
61
%
Rachida Dati
3.66
x
26
%
$9,192 vol
8 markets
3rd place in first round of Texas Senate Republican primary?
Wesley Hunt
1.16
x
85
%
John Cornyn
5.56
x
17
%
$12,129 vol
3 markets
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Yes
1.20
x
82
%
No
5.25
x
18
%
$43,128 vol
1 market
Margin of victory in the 1st round of the Costa Rica Presidential election?
10 to 15%
1.38
x
71
%
15 to 20%
4.31
x
22
%
$51,196 vol
9 markets
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
Yes
6.29
x
15
%
No
1.16
x
85
%
$11,962 vol
1 market
Who will win the 2026 Peru Presidential election?
Rafael López Aliaga
2.01
x
48
%
Alfonso López Chau
4.73
x
20
%
$16,477 vol
16 markets
2nd place in first round of Texas Senate Republican primary?
John Cornyn
1.57
x
62
%
Ken Paxton
3.29
x
29
%
$18,373 vol
3 markets