Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive218AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE218
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

KY-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Morgan McGarvey
Democratic party
96.8%

Morgan McGarvey

Democratic party
96.8%
Maria Rodriguez
Republican party
3.2%

Maria Rodriguez

Republican party
3.2%
People are also trading
Series Image
Kentucky's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
Kentucky 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
KY-03 House election: Morgan McGarvey vote percent
Series Image
KY-03 House election: Maria Teresa Rodriguez vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
South Carolina Senate winner?
Series Image
Iowa Senate winner?

More Kentucky and 2026 Midterm Races

More Kentucky races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerKY-06 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman

More races

Illinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesAlaska Governor raceLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton
KY-03 House winner?

Morgan McGarvey

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McGarvey
Nov 3 ·D +30.1margin forecast
Rodriguez
$11,658 vol
Race Intel

KY-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMorgan McGarvey (D)Running for re-election

KY-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Maria Teresa RodriguezR
    $38.1K
    11%
    $38.1K raised·11% small donors
  • Morgan McGarveyD
    $2M
    8.6%
    $2M raised·8.6% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.9%2020D +22.3%