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House
KY-06 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ralph Alvarado
Republican party
55%
▼ 5
Yes
56¢
No
45¢
Ralph Alvarado
Republican party
55%
▼ 5
Yes
56¢
No
45¢
Zach Dembo
Democratic party
45%
▲ 5
Yes
45¢
No
56¢
Zach Dembo
Democratic party
45%
▲ 5
Yes
45¢
No
56¢
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Buy
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Dollars
KY-06 House winner?
Ralph Alvarado
YES 56¢
NO 45¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
58% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Dembo
Nov 3
·
R +1.2
margin forecast
Alvarado
$185,292 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
KY-06 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Andy Barr (R)
Not seeking re-election
KY-06 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Zach Dembo
D
45.6%
45.6%
$1.5M
11%
$1.5M raised
·
11% small donors
Ralph Alvarado
R
41.1%
41.1%
$2.2M
0.9%
$2.2M raised
·
0.9% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past KY-06 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +15.0%
2020
R +11.0%