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House
VA-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John McGuire
Republican party
59%
▲ 1
Yes
60¢
No
41¢
John McGuire
Republican party
59%
▲ 1
Yes
60¢
No
41¢
Tom Perriello
Democratic party
41%
▼ 1
Yes
42¢
No
59¢
Tom Perriello
Democratic party
41%
▼ 1
Yes
42¢
No
59¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
VA-05 House winner?
John McGuire
YES 60¢
NO 41¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
62% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Perriello
Nov 3
·
R +1.0
margin forecast
McGuire
$782,664 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
VA-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
John McGuire (R)
Running for re-election
VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
John McGuire
R
$2.2M
23%
$2.2M raised
·
23% small donors
Tom Perriello
D
$2.1M
9.9%
$2.1M raised
·
9.9% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past VA-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +12.2%
2020
R +8.3%