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  1. Senate

Arkansas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Tom Cotton
Republican party
95%
▼ 0.2

Tom Cotton

Republican party
95%
▼ 0.2
Hallie Shoffner
Democratic party
5%
▲ 0.2

Hallie Shoffner

Democratic party
5%
▲ 0.2
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Arkansas Senate winner?

Tom Cotton

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Shoffner
Nov 3 ·R +12.8margin forecast
Cotton
$460,265 vol
Race Intel

Arkansas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Cotton (R)Running for re-election

Arkansas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR51.1%
    51.1%
    $7M
    9.3%
    $7M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.5%
    38.5%
    $3.7M
    33%
    $3.7M raised·33% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Arkansas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%