Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive91AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE91
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate

Oregon Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2


Chance

Jeff Merkley
Democratic party
98.4%
▲ 0.3

Jeff Merkley

Democratic party
98.4%
▲ 0.3

David Brock Smith
Republican party
1.6%
▼ 0.3

David Brock Smith

Republican party
1.6%
▼ 0.3

People are also trading
Series Image
Oregon Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Oregon Governor winner?
Series Image
OR-02 House winner?
Series Image
OR-05 House winner?
Series Image
OR-06 House winner?
Series Image
Oregon State House winner?
Series Image
Oregon State Senate winner?
Series Image
Oregon Senate election: David Brock Smith vote percent
Series Image
Oregon Senate election: Jeff Merkley vote percent

More Oregon and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oregon races

Oregon Governor race: Kotek vs. Drazan

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Florida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityVermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo
Oregon Senate winner?

Jeff Merkley

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Merkley
Nov 3 ·D +24.8margin forecast
Smith
$31,734 vol
Race Intel

Oregon Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJeff Merkley (D)Running for re-election

Oregon Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • David Brock SmithR
    $290.7K
    43%
    $290.7K raised·43% small donors
  • Jeff MerkleyD
    $5.2M
    24%
    $5.2M raised·24% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oregon Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.3%2020D +16.1%