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NM-03 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Fernández vs. Zamora | Kalshi

Series Image

House

NM-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Fernández

Nov 3 ·D +19.4margin forecast

Zamora

$11,086 vol

Chance

Teresa Leger Fernández

Democratic party

97%

▲ 1.1

Teresa Leger Fernández

Democratic party

97%

▲ 1.1

Martin Zamora

Republican party

3%

▼ 1.1

Martin Zamora

Republican party

3%

▼ 1.1

Race Intel

NM-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentTeresa Leger Fernandez (D)Running for re-election

NM-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Martin ZamoraR
$598.7K
5.1%
$598.7K raised·5.1% small donors
Teresa LegerD
$1.6M
8.5%
$1.6M raised·8.5% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NM-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.8%2020D +10.8%

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Teresa Leger Fernández

Dollars$

Odds

96% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

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