Cash

Trending Midterms Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live126 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE126

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

OK-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Cole vs. Jacob | Kalshi

Series Image

House

OK-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Jacob

Nov 3 ·R +28.3margin forecast

Cole

$5,891 vol

Chance

Tom Cole

Republican party

95.2%

▼ 1.2

Tom Cole

Republican party

95.2%

▼ 1.2

Mitchell Jacob

Democratic party

4.8%

▲ 1.2

Mitchell Jacob

Democratic party

4.8%

▲ 1.2

Race Intel

OK-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentTom Cole (R)Running for re-election

OK-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Mitchell JacobD
$115K
27%
$115K raised·27% small donors
Tom ColeR
$4.2M
2.8%
$4.2M raised·2.8% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OK-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +32.9%2020R +31.6%

People are also trading

Series Image

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Series Image

Oklahoma's 4th District margin of victory

Series Image

Oklahoma 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Series Image

Oklahoma Governor winner?

Series Image

Oklahoma Attorney General winner?

Series Image

OK-02 House winner?

Series Image

OK-05 House winner?

Series Image

OK-01 House winner?

Series Image

OK-03 House winner?

Series Image

Oklahoma Lieutenant Governor winner?

More Oklahoma and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oklahoma races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. Munson Oklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. Thomas

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

OK-04 House winner?

Mitchell Jacob

Dollars$

Odds

5% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. Jones Kansas Governor race: Masterson vs. Holscher Louisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. Davis Maine Governor race: Pingree vs. Charles New Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. Murphy New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. Booker Alaska Governor race Rhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. Block Connecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio