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OK-05 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Bice vs. Nelson | Kalshi

Series Image

House

OK-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Nelson

Nov 3 ·R +9.1margin forecast

Bice

$92,399 vol

Chance

Stephanie Bice

Republican party

88%

▼ 2.1

Stephanie Bice

Republican party

88%

▼ 2.1

Jena Nelson

Democratic party

12%

▲ 2.1

Jena Nelson

Democratic party

12%

▲ 2.1

Race Intel

OK-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentStephanie Bice (R)Running for re-election

OK-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Jena NelsonD
$739K
32%
$739K raised·32% small donors
Stephanie BiceR
$2.4M
2.6%
$2.4M raised·2.6% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OK-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +18.2%2020R +16.9%

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OK-05 House winner?

Jena Nelson

Dollars$

Odds

14% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

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