Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive414AccountSocial
Reminder: Weekly scheduled exchange maintenance will occur from 3-5 AM ET. Trading will be paused during this time.
MARKETSINVESTLIVE414
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Florida’s 14th District margin of victory

LIVE
545
Chance
Castor, 2+ pts
98.3%
▲ 3.3

Castor, 2+ pts

98.3%
▲ 3.3
Castor, 5+ pts
91.6%
▲ 46.6

Castor, 5+ pts

91.6%
▲ 46.6
Castor, 8+ pts
0.5%
▼ 21.5

Castor, 8+ pts

0.5%
▼ 21.5
8 more

People are also trading
Series Image
Florida 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
FL-14 House election: Kathy Castor vote percent
Series Image
FL-14 House election: Mike Beltran vote percent
Series Image
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Series Image
Mississippi Senate winner?
Series Image
Alaska Senate winner?
Series Image
NC-03 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Michigan Senate margin of victory
Series Image
AZ-02 House winner?
Florida’s 14th District margin of victory
Castor, 2+ pts

Castor, 2+ pts

Odds
100% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kathy CastorD
    $4.5M
    8.8%
    $4.5M raised·8.8% small donors
  • Mike BeltranR
    $2.6M
    0.6%
    $2.6M raised·0.6% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +10.5%2020R +2.8%
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 7th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

2028 Democratic presidential nominee2028 Republican presidential nominee2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?NC-03 House winner?How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Mississippi Senate winner?Alaska Senate winner?

Elections hub

All Elections markets