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  1. Senate

Iowa Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Combo
Chance
Josh Turek
Democratic party
53%
▲ 5

Josh Turek

Democratic party
53%
▲ 5
Ashley Hinson
Republican party
47%
▼ 5

Ashley Hinson

Republican party
47%
▼ 5

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Iowa Senate margin of victory
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Iowa Senate: margin of victory
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Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout
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Iowa Governor-Senate combo
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Iowa Senate margin of victory
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Iowa Senate winner? (Person)
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Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
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Iowa Senate election: Josh Turek vote percent
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Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percent
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Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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Combo
Iowa Senate winner?

Josh Turek

Odds
55% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Turek
Nov 3 ·D +0.6margin forecast
Hinson
$11,467,059 vol
Race Intel

Iowa Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoni Ernst (R)Not seeking re-election

Iowa Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Josh TurekD46.4%
    46.4%
    $6.3M
    43%
    $6.3M raised·43% small donors
  • Ashley HinsonR46.3%
    46.3%
    $13.5M
    11%
    $13.5M raised·11% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Iowa Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.2%2020R +8.2%

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