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  1. Senate

Oregon Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Jeff Merkley
Democratic party
99.5%
▲ 1.1

Jeff Merkley

Democratic party
99.5%
▲ 1.1
David Brock Smith
Republican party
0.5%
▼ 1.1

David Brock Smith

Republican party
0.5%
▼ 1.1

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Oregon Senate winner?

Jeff Merkley

Odds
100% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Merkley
Nov 3 ·D +25.1margin forecast
Smith
$54,808 vol
Race Intel

Oregon Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJeff Merkley (D)Running for re-election

Oregon Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • David Brock SmithR
    $290.7K
    43%
    $290.7K raised·43% small donors
  • Jeff MerkleyD
    $5.2M
    24%
    $5.2M raised·24% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oregon Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.3%2020D +16.1%

More Oregon and 2026 Midterm Races

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Control of Congress

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Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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