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Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Climate Change Odds & Predictions 2026

Climate

This May 2026 is the hottest May ever?

Yes

93.5x

No

--

$30,589 vol1 market

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Yes

3.08x

No

1.40x

$139,935 vol1 market

June temperature increase?

1.10 to 1.16

2.46x

1.03 to 1.09

3.96x

$2,650 vol6 markets

US meets its climate goals?

By 2030

4.98x

By 2025

15.6x

$55,099 vol2 markets

India meets its 2030 climate goals?

Yes

1.48x

No

2.52x

$10,470 vol1 market

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Yes

1.28x

No

3.96x

$14,301 vol1 market

EU meets its 2030 climate goals?

Yes

2.05x

No

1.65x

$3,255 vol1 market

Arctic sea ice maximum extent this winter?

Above 14.2 million sq km

Yes

Above 14.3 million sq km

Yes

$202,902 vol9 markets

Global heat in 2023?

1.11° or above

Yes

1.08° to 1.1°

No

$128,610 vol10 markets

Arctic sea ice min extent, Feb 17 to Oct 1, 2023?

Below 4.3 million sq km

Yes

Below 4.4 million sq km

Yes

$91,769 vol8 markets

Lake Mead water level projections, Start of 2023?

1045 feet or below

Yes

1050 feet or below

Yes

$61,934 vol6 markets

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

Before Jul 1, 2026

Yes

Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes

$22,505 vol5 markets

Tsunami before 2026?

Yes

No

$14,128 vol1 market

US CO2 totals in June 2021?

Yes

No

$11,573 vol1 market

Arctic sea ice from Nov 19 to Dec 31, 2022?

Yes

No

$8,814 vol1 market

Politics

Will any state enact a data center moratorium this year?

Yes

1.76x

No

1.90x

$3,888 vol1 market

Climate Change Odds & Predictions