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Large Language Models Odds & Predictions 2026
Tech & Science
AI
Best AI at the end of 2025?
Gemini
Yes
ChatGPT
No
$18,689,704 vol
7 markets
AI
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini
No
ChatGPT
No
$5,410,647 vol
5 markets
AI
What will be the top AI model in January 2026?
gemini-3-pro
Yes
gpt-5.2
No
$1,542,070 vol
10 markets
AI
How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?
Above 0 points
No
Above 20 points
No
$273,415 vol
6 markets
Tech & Science
Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 in 2025?
Yes
No
$161,769 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will Meta release Llama 5 before January 2026?
Yes
No
$115,745 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will OpenAI raise the cost of ChatGPT in 2025?
Yes
No
$114,969 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess in 2025?
Yes
No
$106,638 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 in 2025?
Yes
No
$32,961 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?
Yes
No
$27,936 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Highest score of any LLM on OSWorld in 2025?
At least 60
Yes
At least 50
Yes
$27,629 vol
5 markets
Tech & Science
When will Google release Gemini 3.0?
Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
Before November 22, 2025
Yes
$253,581 vol
3 markets
Financials
Financials
Will any company acquire Mistral AI in 2025?
Yes
No
$2,556 vol
1 market
Sports
Sports
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 aggregate index winning model?
MYSTERY-MODEL
Yes
GPT-5.1
No
$12,453 vol
8 markets
Large Language Models Odds & Predictions
Trending
Frequency
All categories
