Who will the next Pope be?
Pietro Parolin
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Luis Antonio Tagle
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · With no clear favorite, speculation is mounting over who might succeed Pope Francis, as cardinals weigh candidates from Italy, Africa, Asia, and beyond, The New York Times reports. The list reflects a Church divided between continuity, tradition, and a more globally inclusive vision.
$677,665
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jun 16, 2025
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jan 1, 2026
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Tesla's quarterly net income fell 71% as vehicle sales declined and political backlash mounted over Elon Musk's role in the Trump administration, WSJ reports. The company also missed earnings expectations, posting $0.27 per share versus analysts' forecast of $0.41.
$966,579
Pro Basketball TournamentMilwaukee vs Indiana: Game 2 Winner?
IND62¢
$100 → $157MIL40¢
$100 → $239News · Indiana is aiming to increase defensive pressure in Game 2 after holding Milwaukee well below its season average in a dominant series opener, Arkansas Democrat Gazette reports. Despite the win, Indiana expects a tougher challenge Tuesday as Milwaukee prepares for adjustments.
$11,619,844
Powell out as Chair this year?
Yes
$100 → $538No
$100 → $116News · Despite recent criticism, President Trump told reporters he has 'no intention' of removing Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, the WSJ reports. However, the President reiterated his call for lower interest rates, urging Powell to act sooner rather than later.
$219,909
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Stocks soared Tuesday after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told investors a U.S.-China trade de-escalation is coming. His remarks helped the Dow rally 965 points, recovering nearly all of Monday's losses.
$32,994
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Howard Lutnick
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · President Trump is standing firmly behind his defense secretary following reports that he shared sensitive military details in a private Signal chat, CNBC reports. The White House maintains that no classified information was disclosed and called the backlash a smear campaign driven by former Pentagon staff.
$586,043
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Conservative Party
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Canada's top candidates are prioritizing fossil fuel expansion and energy independence as concerns over the U.S. and rising living costs eclipse climate change in the federal election, BBC reports. Both leading parties have vowed to fast-track new energy infrastructure despite the country lagging far behind its international emissions targets.
$2,942,657
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What will TSLA say on their next earnings call?
Semi Truck / Semi-truck
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Roadster
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$118,327
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $902No
$100 → $108$3,457,399
Fed decision in May?
No change
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$34,324,156
Best AI this month?
Gemini
78%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,014,253
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Pete Hegseth
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Peter Navarro
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$342,308
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Median
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Consumer confidence
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$726,496
"Andor: Season 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 97
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 98
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,036
15h 3m 41s
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.15
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.20
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,095,277·Monthly
Pro Hockey TournamentNew Jersey vs Carolina: Game 2 Winner?
CAR52¢
$100 → $186NJ50¢
$100 → $192$509,902
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
2
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$635,452
Highest temperature in NYC tomorrow?
74° to 75°
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
72° to 73°
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$40,371,259·Daily
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$825,659
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 300
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 350
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,498,664·Monthly
Inflation in April? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.4%
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,279,345·Monthly
Rain in NYC this month?
Above 3 inches
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4 inches
3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$882,883·Monthly
Pro Basketball TournamentMilwaukee vs Indiana: Series Winner?
IND70¢
$100 → $140MIL31¢
$100 → $307$7,525,767
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,409,264·Monthly
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 0.5%
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1.0%
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,798,132
"The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 80
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$187,838
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
South Korea
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––India
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$691,178
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$47,204
GTA 6 release date?
Before December 2025
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before November 2025
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$234,042
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025?
100% to 149.99%
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––200% to 299.99%
3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$26,904