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Elections

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2026 Midterms

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
SenateHouseGovernorBalance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power. Learn more

Combos

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil

Republicans have a 51% chance to control the Senate

Senate forecast

Democrats have an 85% chance to control the House

House forecast

Democrats have a 58% chance of winning the 2028 Presidential Election

Presidential forecast
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
$9,563,266 vol4 markets
Senate

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
Democrats sweep
$41,602 vol4 markets
Senate

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep
Democrats sweep
$17,769 vol4 markets
Senate

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
$47,215 vol4 markets
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
No
$368,992 vol1 market
Senate

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
$32,254 vol4 markets
House

2026: Trump’s bad year?

Yes
No
$247,759 vol1 market
Mixed Combos

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?

Yes
No
$6,342 vol1 market
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
No
$340,057 vol1 market
Senate

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
$4,938 vol4 markets
California

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
$40,700 vol4 markets
Senate

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
$33,015 vol4 markets
House

2026: Trump’s dream year?

Yes
No
$560,673 vol1 market
Senate

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
$25,066 vol4 markets
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
No
$14,364 vol1 market
Senate

Red wave this year?

Yes
No
$5,463 vol1 market
Mixed Combos

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 1
At least 3
$21,450 vol10 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?

3
5
$3,220 vol7 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

At least 5
At least 4
$345 vol8 markets
US Elections

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

Governor
Attorney General
$39,005 vol9 markets
Senate

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

Yes
No
$15,801 vol1 market
Senate

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep
Democrats sweep
$32,640 vol4 markets