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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Republicans
have a
54% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have an
85% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
58% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Combos
Senate
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
43
%
D-House, R-Senate
41
%
$9,154,748 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
45
%
No
55
%
$319,143 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
6
%
No
94
%
$242,429 vol
1 market
Senate
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
73
%
Democrats sweep
11
%
$6,913 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$558,579 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
75
%
No
25
%
$348,621 vol
1 market
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
53
%
No
47
%
$13,212 vol
1 market
Senate
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
40
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
42
%
$2,975 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
20
%
No
80
%
$15,431 vol
1 market
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
64
%
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
34
%
$37,674 vol
4 markets
Senate
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
61
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
33
%
$23,952 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
37
%
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
35
%
$31,569 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
12
%
At least 3
11
%
$21,217 vol
10 markets
Senate
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
30
%
Democrats sweep
35
%
$32,574 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
43
%
No
57
%
$5,842 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
Red wave this year?
Yes
10
%
No
90
%
$5,273 vol
1 market
Senate
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
74
%
Democrats sweep
15
%
$27,030 vol
4 markets
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
92
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$17,195 vol
4 markets
Senate
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
65
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
36
%
$23,042 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
3
25
%
5
21
%
$3,220 vol
7 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 4
56
%
At least 5
44
%
$345 vol
8 markets
US Elections
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
82
%
Secretary of State
85
%
$38,941 vol
9 markets
