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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
2026 Midterm Election Predictions
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Key races
All
Texas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Talarico
61%
Paxton
39%
Projected margin
D +1.6
Maine Senate winner?
Nov 3
Jackson
57%
Collins
43%
Projected margin
D +1.2
Michigan Senate winner?
Nov 3
El-Sayed
68%
Rogers
32%
Projected margin
D +2.3
Ohio Senate winner?
Nov 3
Brown
62%
Husted
38%
Projected margin
D +1.9
Iowa Senate winner?
Nov 3
Turek
43%
Hinson
57%
Projected margin
R +1.2
Kansas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Hamilton
36%
Marshall
64%
Alaska Senate winner?
Nov 4
Democrat
74%
Republican
26%
Ohio Governor winner?
Nov 3
Acton
70%
Ramaswamy
30%
Projected margin
D +3.2
Nebraska Senate winner?
Nov 3
Osborn
25%
Ricketts
75%
Projected margin
R +3.6
Georgia Governor winner?
Nov 3
Bottoms
48%
Jackson
52%
Projected margin
R +0.5
Nevada Governor winner?
Nov 3
Ford
53%
Lombardo
47%
Projected margin
D +0.1
MT-01 House winner?
Nov 3
Forstag
31%
Flint
69%
Projected margin
R +2.3
Senate
House
Governor
States
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
Democrats
have a
63% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have a
90% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
58% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
US Elections
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep
61
%
D-House, R-Senate
31
%
$40,482,928 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
79
%
No
21
%
$1,656,219 vol
1 market
Senate
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Yes
19
%
No
81
%
$44,180 vol
1 market
Alaska elections
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
72
%
Republicans sweep
16
%
$93,544 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
45
%
No
55
%
$693,657 vol
1 market
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
42
%
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win
39
%
$71,068 vol
4 markets
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
9
%
No
91
%
$57,403 vol
1 market
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
64
%
No
36
%
$30,997 vol
1 market
Kansas Elections
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win
59
%
Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win
21
%
$77,420 vol
4 markets
Ohio Elections
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
61
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
26
%
$62,340 vol
4 markets
Maine Elections
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win
57
%
Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win
40
%
$44,940 vol
4 markets
Senate
Midterms: Blue trickle?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$21,759 vol
1 market
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win
85
%
Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win
15
%
$65,930 vol
4 markets
Georgia Elections
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
54
%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
45
%
$89,393 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
51
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
46
%
$76,273 vol
4 markets
Iowa Elections
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
49
%
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
42
%
$71,599 vol
4 markets
House Combos
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
75
%
No
25
%
$1,319 vol
1 market
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
29
%
No
71
%
$23,372 vol
1 market
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 5
48
%
At least 4
69
%
$1,104 vol
8 markets
Florida Elections
Florida Governor-Senate combo
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win
77
%
David Jolly and Ashley Moody win
14
%
$7,912 vol
4 markets
New Hampshire Elections
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win
83
%
Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win
14
%
$69,075 vol
4 markets
Nebraska Elections
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win
69
%
Jim Pillen and Dan Osborn win
24
%
$579 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$610,788 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
89
%
Secretary of State
90
%
$42,528 vol
9 markets
