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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Democrats
have a
62% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have a
92% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
59% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
US Elections
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep
61
%
D-House, R-Senate
29
%
$21,444,403 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
85
%
No
15
%
$733,720 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
49
%
No
51
%
$553,719 vol
1 market
Senate
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Yes
22
%
No
78
%
$12,582 vol
1 market
Florida Elections
Florida Governor-Senate combo
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win
73
%
David Jolly and Ashley Moody win
16
%
$1,972 vol
4 markets
Maine Elections
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win
65
%
Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win
38
%
$35,050 vol
4 markets
New Hampshire Elections
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win
78
%
Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win
17
%
$65,347 vol
4 markets
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win
90
%
Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win
9
%
$40,859 vol
4 markets
Ohio Elections
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
49
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
20
%
$22,351 vol
4 markets
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
41
%
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win
37
%
$2,071 vol
4 markets
Kansas Elections
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win
60
%
Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win
19
%
$37,500 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
26
%
At least 3
13
%
$23,591 vol
10 markets
Iowa Elections
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
50
%
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
44
%
$57,233 vol
4 markets
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
60
%
No
40
%
$22,333 vol
1 market
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
3
25
%
4
18
%
$4,257 vol
7 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
61
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
40
%
$51,273 vol
4 markets
Georgia Elections
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
51
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
42
%
$81,459 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
32
%
No
68
%
$21,292 vol
1 market
Alaska elections
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
63
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
17
%
$64,921 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
4
%
No
96
%
$258,666 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$30,077 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
38
%
No
62
%
$7,843 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$590,742 vol
1 market
US Elections
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
59
%
No
41
%
$214 vol
1 market
