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US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
Republicans
have a
57% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have an
83% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
58% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Senate
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
44
%
D-House, R-Senate
39
%
$8,360,254 vol
4 markets
Senate
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
76
%
Republicans sweep
33
%
$25,777 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
74
%
No
26
%
$307,446 vol
1 market
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
91
%
Republicans sweep
8
%
$13,439 vol
4 markets
Senate
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
60
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
33
%
$16,764 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
13
%
No
87
%
$212,126 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
38
%
No
62
%
$257,631 vol
1 market
Senate
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
62
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
27
%
$20,354 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
64
%
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
29
%
$36,446 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
15
%
No
85
%
$14,621 vol
1 market
Senate
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
74
%
Democrats sweep
15
%
$26,267 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
4
%
No
96
%
$522,822 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
19
%
At least 3
10
%
$21,072 vol
10 markets
Senate
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
36
%
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
32
%
$29,648 vol
4 markets
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
48
%
No
52
%
$10,576 vol
1 market
Senate
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
45
%
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
39
%
$338 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
50
%
No
50
%
$5,725 vol
1 market
Senate
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
70
%
Democrats sweep
13
%
$4,550 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
5
23
%
3
21
%
$2,817 vol
7 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 5
44
%
At least 4
56
%
$45 vol
8 markets
US Elections
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
82
%
Secretary of State
92
%
$36,751 vol
9 markets
2026 Live Midterms Forecasts by State | Kalshi
