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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Republicans
have a
53% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have an
85% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
58% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Senate
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
48
%
D-House, R-Senate
37
%
$11,566,992 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
76
%
No
24
%
$531,239 vol
1 market
Senate
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
68
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
31
%
$31,643 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
50
%
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
35
%
$51,783 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
41
%
No
59
%
$388,019 vol
1 market
Senate
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
69
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
8
%
$19,017 vol
4 markets
Senate
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
44
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
33
%
$10,251 vol
4 markets
Senate
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
57
%
Republicans sweep
28
%
$41,273 vol
4 markets
Senate
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
75
%
Republicans sweep
22
%
$60,195 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
65
%
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
38
%
$46,853 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
17
%
At least 3
15
%
$21,620 vol
10 markets
US Elections
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
59
%
No
41
%
$24 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$252,836 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
4
%
No
96
%
$567,249 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$11,018 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
43
%
No
57
%
$6,552 vol
1 market
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
92
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
8
%
$36,426 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 5
44
%
At least 4
56
%
$354 vol
8 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
3
25
%
5
23
%
$3,220 vol
7 markets
Senate
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
60
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
39
%
$71,980 vol
4 markets
US Elections
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Commissioner of Labor
88
%
Secretary of State
90
%
$40,457 vol
9 markets
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
21
%
No
79
%
$16,610 vol
1 market
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
54
%
No
46
%
$19,208 vol
1 market
