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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Republicans
have a
51% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have an
85% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
58% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Senate
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
48
%
D-House, R-Senate
39
%
$9,563,266 vol
4 markets
Senate
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
69
%
Democrats sweep
12
%
$41,602 vol
4 markets
Senate
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
79
%
Democrats sweep
11
%
$17,769 vol
4 markets
Senate
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
58
%
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
42
%
$47,215 vol
4 markets
Senate
Blue wave this year?
Yes
76
%
No
24
%
$368,992 vol
1 market
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
90
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
8
%
$32,254 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s bad year?
Yes
7
%
No
93
%
$247,759 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
42
%
No
58
%
$6,342 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
40
%
No
60
%
$340,057 vol
1 market
Senate
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
39
%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
36
%
$4,938 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
60
%
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
37
%
$40,700 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
35
%
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
35
%
$33,015 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
5
%
No
95
%
$560,673 vol
1 market
Senate
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
62
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
34
%
$25,066 vol
4 markets
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
57
%
No
43
%
$14,364 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
10
%
No
90
%
$5,463 vol
1 market
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 1
19
%
At least 3
15
%
$21,450 vol
10 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
3
25
%
5
23
%
$3,220 vol
7 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 5
44
%
At least 4
56
%
$345 vol
8 markets
US Elections
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
81
%
Attorney General
86
%
$39,005 vol
9 markets
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
21
%
No
79
%
$15,801 vol
1 market
Senate
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Republicans sweep
30
%
Democrats sweep
35
%
$32,640 vol
4 markets