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  1. House

MT-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Sam Forstag
Democratic party
55%
▲ 11

Sam Forstag

Democratic party
55%
▲ 11
Aaron Flint
Republican party
45%
▼ 11

Aaron Flint

Republican party
45%
▼ 11
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Combo
MT-01 House winner?

Sam Forstag

Odds
58% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Forstag
Nov 3 ·D +1.6margin forecast
Flint
$824,889 vol
Race Intel

MT-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRyan Zinke (R)Not seeking re-election

MT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Sam ForstagD46.7%
    46.7%
    $1.4M
    36%
    $1.4M raised·36% small donors
  • Aaron FlintR45.4%
    45.4%
    $2.6M
    22%
    $2.6M raised·22% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.5%2020R +6.9%