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House
AZ-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Amish Shah
Democratic party
78%
Yes
78¢
No
23¢
Amish Shah
Democratic party
78%
Yes
78¢
No
23¢
Jay Feely
Republican party
22%
Yes
23¢
No
78¢
Jay Feely
Republican party
22%
Yes
23¢
No
78¢
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Buy
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Dollars
AZ-01 House winner?
Amish Shah
YES 78¢
NO 23¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
79% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Shah
Nov 3
·
D +4.8
margin forecast
Feely
$279,400 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
AZ-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
David Schweikert (R)
Not seeking re-election
AZ-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Amish Shah
D
$1.8M
11%
$1.8M raised
·
11% small donors
Jay Feely
R
$2.5M
1.1%
$2.5M raised
·
1.1% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past AZ-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +3.1%
2020
D +1.5%