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  1. House

MT-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Aaron Flint
Republican party
55%
▼ 8

Aaron Flint

Republican party
55%
▼ 8
Sam Forstag
Democratic party
45%
▲ 8

Sam Forstag

Democratic party
45%
▲ 8
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Control of Congress

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Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

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Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
MT-01 House winner?

Aaron Flint

Odds
58% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Forstag
Nov 3 ·R +0.5margin forecast
Flint
$697,732 vol
Race Intel

MT-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRyan Zinke (R)Not seeking re-election

MT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Sam ForstagD46.7%
    46.7%
    $1.4M
    36%
    $1.4M raised·36% small donors
  • Aaron FlintR44.9%
    44.9%
    $2.6M
    22%
    $2.6M raised·22% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.5%2020R +6.9%