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House
CA-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike McGuire
Democratic party
94.2%
▼ 0.4
Yes
96.8¢
No
4.9¢
Mike McGuire
Democratic party
94.2%
▼ 0.4
Yes
96.8¢
No
4.9¢
James Gallagher
Republican party
5.8%
▲ 0.4
Yes
5.5¢
No
96¢
James Gallagher
Republican party
5.8%
▲ 0.4
Yes
5.5¢
No
96¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
CA-01 House winner?
Mike McGuire
YES 96.8¢
NO 4.9¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
McGuire
Nov 3
·
D +17.4
margin forecast
Gallagher
$20,855 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
James Gallagher (R)
Running for re-election
CA-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
James Gallagher
R
$1.5M
5.0%
$1.5M raised
·
5.0% small donors
Mike McGuire
D
$1.8M
26%
$1.8M raised
·
26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +12.2%
2020
D +17.9%