Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
162
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
162
PRO
MORE
House
CA-45 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Derek Tran
Democratic party
92.8%
▼ 0.1
Yes
93.5¢
No
6.7¢
Derek Tran
Democratic party
92.8%
▼ 0.1
Yes
93.5¢
No
6.7¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
7.2%
▲ 0.1
Yes
7.3¢
No
92.9¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
7.2%
▲ 0.1
Yes
7.3¢
No
92.9¢
People are also trading
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
California's 45th District margin of victory
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
CA-13 House winner?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
CA-22 House winner?
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
CA-03 House winner?
CA-47 House winner?
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
Show more
More California and 2026 Midterm Races
More California races
California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton
CA-11 House race
CA-22 House race
CA-34 House race
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman
Kansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
More races
North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley
Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya
Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn
Alaska Senate race
Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
New Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. Sununu
Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins
Iowa Governor race: Sand vs. Lahn
Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
CA-45 House winner?
Derek Tran
YES 93.5¢
NO 6.7¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Tran
Nov 3
·
D +13.9
margin forecast
Vo
$118,175 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-45 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Derek Tran (D)
Running for re-election
CA-45 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chuong Vo
R
$844K
27%
$844K raised
·
27% small donors
Derek Tran
D
$5M
16%
$5M raised
·
16% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-45 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +4.0%
2020
D +10.1%